Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.034438 0.037479 0.040530 0.043816 0.047248 0.050722 0.054499
2026-01-18 0.029857 0.034374 0.039044 0.044212 0.049749 0.055484 0.061853
2026-01-25 0.024878 0.030332 0.036143 0.042741 0.049978 0.057626 0.066278
2026-02-01 0.021450 0.027629 0.034398 0.042266 0.051070 0.060537 0.071408
2026-02-08 0.018805 0.025546 0.033127 0.042129 0.052384 0.063574 0.076588
2026-02-15 0.017316 0.024641 0.033068 0.043252 0.055021 0.068015 0.083275
2026-02-22 0.015951 0.023750 0.032920 0.044184 0.057373 0.072086 0.089515
2026-03-01 0.014527 0.022662 0.032439 0.044644 0.059114 0.075415 0.094882
2026-03-08 0.013199 0.021585 0.031883 0.044939 0.060603 0.078410 0.099833
2026-03-15 0.012349 0.021049 0.031935 0.045919 0.062861 0.082264 0.105746
2026-03-22 0.010800 0.019471 0.030593 0.045123 0.062945 0.083547 0.108661
2026-03-29 0.009838 0.018614 0.030110 0.045337 0.064200 0.086166 0.113096
2026-04-05 0.009095 0.018037 0.029989 0.046024 0.066072 0.089572 0.118532
2026-04-12 0.008271 0.017284 0.029595 0.046340 0.067474 0.092419 0.123320
2026-04-19 0.006866 0.015544 0.027790 0.044778 0.066510 0.092405 0.124716
2026-04-26 0.005953 0.014470 0.026830 0.044261 0.066805 0.093872 0.127840
2026-05-03 0.005241 0.013647 0.026173 0.044105 0.067523 0.095831 0.131534
2026-05-10 0.004963 0.013523 0.026498 0.045248 0.069883 0.099785 0.137613
2026-05-17 0.004655 0.013319 0.026689 0.046199 0.071992 0.103431 0.143325
2026-05-24 0.004248 0.012898 0.026538 0.046667 0.073471 0.106297 0.148098
2026-05-31 0.003835 0.012423 0.026278 0.046968 0.074720 0.108872 0.152515
2026-06-07 0.003617 0.012296 0.026533 0.047972 0.076878 0.112569 0.158291
2026-06-14 0.003024 0.011363 0.025506 0.047156 0.076635 0.113272 0.160422